The Washington Nationals will make a road trip to Oriole Park to square off against the Baltimore Orioles. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise this interleague matchup.
Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Washington (-140) is favored over Baltimore (+130) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Nationals -1.5 runs (+105) and Orioles +1.5 runs (-125).
The Nationals are 29-22 SU and have gone 25-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 0.9 units ATS. Washington is 3-5 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 17-36 SU and 20-32 ATS. The team has lost 17.2 units for moneyline bettors and 14.1 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 23-27-2 so far in 2018. Nationals games have gone under 26 times, gone over 22 times and pushed on two occasions.
The left-handed Gio Gonzalez is getting the nod for Washington. Gonzalez is 5-2 with a 2.38 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and two strikeouts across six innings).
The Orioles are putting the ball in the hands of righty Alex Cobb (1-6, 7.32 ERA), who has 22 strikeouts and nine walks, as well as a 1.93 WHIP. Cobb did not record a start against the Nationals in 2017.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.93 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.05 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.30, along with a K-per-9 of 9.76.
The Nationals offense has slashed .240/.327/.414 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and second baseman Howie Kendrick. Turner is hitting .270/.361/.422 with six home runs, 22 RBIs, 29 runs and 14 steals, while Kendrick has a .303 average with four homers, 12 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.60, a WHIP of 1.58 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
Baltimore’s offense has produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .222/.285/.310 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led the Orioles’ hitters this year. Machado is hitting .324/.395/.609 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 29 runs scored, and Jones has put up a line of .274/.291/.458 with nine homers, 25 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado seemed to enjoy hitting left-handed pitchers at home last year, slashing .300/.345/.588 over 87 such plate appearances.
The Nationals have gained 5.5 units and are 17-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 3.8 units and are 7-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in nine of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.
Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Nationals have won five of their last six games SU.
Baltimore has recorded 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.4 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit eight over their last 10.
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