The St. Louis Cardinals will head north to face off against their divisional foe Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will showcase the matchup and the game will get going at 2:10 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Milwaukee (+105) as the underdog to St. Louis (-115). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over nine runs and -120 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Cardinals -1.5 runs (+130) and Brewers +1.5 runs (-150).
The Brewers are 34-20 SU and 32-21 ATS. The team’s gained 15.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.3 units against the spread (ATS). The Cardinals have gone 28-22 SU this year and are 23-26 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 1.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.3 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 20-31-2 so far in 2018. Cardinals games have gone under 27 times, gone over 18 times and pushed on four instances.
Luke Weaver will get the start for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Weaver is 3-4 with a 4.31 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he did make three starts against the Brewers in 2017, compiling a 2-0 record against them with a 5.40 ERA and 22 strikeouts.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Brent Suter (4-3, 4.56 ERA), who has 42 strikeouts and 12 walks, as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Suter is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA over one starts against St. Louis this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.19 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.49, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.2. In 23 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.44.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 2.7 per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .305/.394/.480 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Cain is slashing .295/.401/.454 with six home runs, 16 RBIs, 35 runs and 11 stolen bases, while Yelich’s line is .305/.371/.467 with five homers, 23 RBIs and 30 runs.
For the visiting squad, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.02 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.18 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.24, along with a K-per-9 of 8.22.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .240/.320/.388 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
St. Louis’ offensive production been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and outfielder Marcell Ozuna. Martinez is slashing .313/.382/.467 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Ozuna is hitting .265/.307/.344 with three homers, 23 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .474/.545/.895 across 44 such plate appearances, Martinez performed well against left-handed pitchers on the road last year (compared to his total season slash line of .309/.379/.518).
The Cardinals have gained 3.4 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.4 units and are 26-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 24 that’ve gone under.
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in just one of St. Louis’ last seven games.
The Brewers have won six of their last seven games SU.
Milwaukee has recorded 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 29.2 over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 15 over their last 10.
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