The Miami Marlins are heading west to play the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast this NL matchup and the action gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (-110) as the favorite over San Diego (+100). The total sits at eight runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +135 for the Marlins -1.5 runs and -155 for the Padres +1.5.
The Padres are 22-32 SU and 27-26 ATS. They’ve lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units against the spread (ATS). The Marlins are 19-33 SU and have gone 26-25 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 1.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.9 units ATS.
Padres games have had an over/under record of 24-27-2 so far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 24-27.
Caleb Smith will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. The southpaw Smith is 3-5 with a 3.83 ERA and 65 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres will send Eric Lauer (1-2, 6.67 ERA) to the mound. Lauer has 25 strikeouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a 1.93 WHIP. Lauer did not pitch in the majors last season.
San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.90, a WHIP of 1.50 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 3.24 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The San Diego hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .228/.265/.383 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer have paced the Padres’ hitters this year. Pirela is slashing .282/.336/.368 with 59 hits, 17 RBIs and 29 runs scored, and Hosmer’s line is .257/.352/.445 with six homers, 20 RBIs and 25 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .318/.385/.498, Hosmer did not seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .224/.274/.357 across 106 plate appearances.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.34 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.75 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.76, along with a K/9 of 8.80.
The Marlins offense has slashed .229/.301/.342 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game this year, including 2.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Miami’s offensive production been powered by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .285/.326/.375 with 57 hits, 21 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .276/.359/.380 with 53 hits, 23 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 1.4 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a y starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 0.6 units and are 7-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to seven that went under.
Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in four of Miami’s last seven games.
Miami has posted 17.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit nine over their last 10.
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