The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. This NL matchup will get going at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Philadelphia (+140) is entering this one as the underdog to Los Angeles (-150) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -125 for the under and +105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Phillies +1.5 runs (-155) and Dodgers -1.5 runs (+135).
The Dodgers are 25-28 SU and 21-31 ATS. They’ve lost 22.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.6 units against the spread (ATS). The Phillies have gone 29-22 SU this year and are 23-27 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 5.8 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 5.9 units ATS.
Dodgers games have had an over/under record of 25-26-1 thus far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 22-25-3.
Right-hander Jake Arrieta will get the nod for Philadelphia. Arrieta is 4-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 6.00 ERA and nine strikeouts across six innings).
The Dodgers are putting the ball in the right hand of Kenta Maeda (4-3, 3.38 ERA), who has 66 punchouts and 17 walks as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Maeda made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-0 record in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 3.60 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have yielded 3.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.31 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.97 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Los Angeles offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .237/.310/.395 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor have led the Dodgers’ batters this year. Kemp is slashing .338/.368/.531 with six home runs, 26 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Taylor’s line sits at .243/.332/.442 with seven homers, 19 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .288/.354/.496, Taylor did not perform very well against right-handed pitching at home last season, slashing .236/.295/.416 across 193 plate appearances.
For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.33 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.04 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.55, along with a K/9 of 9.19.
The Phillies offense has slashed .236/.322/.394 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is slashing .332/.398/.516 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez (.262/.367/.421) has produced seven homers, 20 RBIs, 36 runs and nine steals.
The Phillies have gained 2.0 units and are 16-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 22.3 units and are 11-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 11 which went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Phillies have lost three of their last four games SU while the Dodgers have won five of their last six SU.
The Philadelphia defense has allowed 13 errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Los Angeles over its last 10.
The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 14 over their last 10.
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