The St. Louis Cardinals will face off against their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The action will get underway at 7:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast the game.
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Both teams have equal moneyline odds (-105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s runline odds sit at +140 for taking the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -160 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 35-20 SU and 32-22 ATS. They’ve gained 16.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.3 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals have gone 28-23 SU this year and are 24-26 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.4 units for moneyline bettors and 3.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 21-31-2 so far in 2018. The Cardinals have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 19-27-4.
The right-handed Michael Wacha is the probable starter for the visiting Cardinals. Wacha is 5-1 with a 2.88 ERA and 50 strikeouts. This is his first outing against Milwaukee this year. He did make three starts against the team in 2017, posting a 0-0 record with a 5.79 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Zach Davies (2-4, 4.74 ERA, 1.34 WHIP), who has 27 punchouts and 14 walks. Davies is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 9.53 ERA across one starts against St. Louis this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.21, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.45, a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 10.3. In 24 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.12 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.28.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 2.9 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .303/.380/.483 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers’ hitters this year. Cain is slashing .289/.396/.444 with six home runs, 16 RBIs, 35 runs and 11 steals, while Yelich’s line is .310/.374/.485 with six homers, 24 RBIs, 33 runs and six steals.
In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.10 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.35, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 8.23.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .239/.318/.389 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
First baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna have led St. Louis’ hitters. Martinez is hitting .306/.374/.457 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Ozuna is hitting .264/.306/.342 with three homers, 23 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .309/.379/.518, Martinez didn’t do especially well against right-handed pitchers on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .257/.333/.371 across 117 such plate appearances.
The Cardinals have lost 3.8 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 15.4 units and are 26-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 24 that went under the total.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games SU.
St. Louis fielders have committed four errors over their last five games, compared to zero errors for Milwaukee over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.
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