in , ,

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick 05/30/18

Cardinals vs Brewers
Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to the St. Louis Cardinals at Miller Park. The matchup begins at 1:10 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on FB.

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Both teams have identical moneyline odds (-105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +140 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -160 for the Brewers +1.5.

The Cardinals have gone 29-23 SU this year and are 24-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 35-21 SU and 33-22 ATS. They’ve gained 17.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 22-31-2 so far in 2018. The Cardinals have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 20-27-4.

Alex Reyes will get the nod for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Reyes is 0-0 with an ERA. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Junior Guerra (3-3, 2.98 ERA), who has 44 strikeouts and 20 walks, as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Guerra is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.30, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.44, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 10.2. In 25 games against divisional foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.30 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.24.

The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .294/.372/.480 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is slashing .283/.389/.435 with six home runs, 16 RBIs, 35 runs and 11 stolen bases, and Yelich is hitting .305 with six homers, 24 RBIs, 33 runs and six stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.06 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.29, along with a K/9 of 8.38.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .240/.319/.392 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna have paced St. Louis’ offense. Martinez is slashing .305/.373/.455 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Ozuna (.260/.301/.337) has produced three homers, 23 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

Martinez did not seem to enjoy hitting against righties on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .257/.333/.371 across 117 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .309/.379/.518).

The Cardinals have lost 3.8 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 16.4 units and are 27-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 24 that went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Notes

The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

St. Louis fielders have seven errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.

The Cardinals have won three of their last four games SU.

*****

Written by GMS Previews

Rays vs Athletics

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics Matchup 05/30/18

Astros vs Yankees

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Betting Preview 05/30/18