The Miami Marlins will be facing off against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Fox Sports San Diego will be airing this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 9:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Vegas is listing Miami (+125) as the underdog to San Diego (-135). The total sits at 7.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -170 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +150 for the Padres -1.5.
The Padres are 24-33 SU and 28-28 ATS. The team has lost 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.4 units against the spread (ATS). The Marlins, on the other hand, have gone 20-35 SU this year and are 27-27 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.3 units ATS.
Neither team has positioned itself as a strong over/under play this year. Padres games have an over/under record of 26-28-2 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 26-28.
Southpaw Wei-Yin Chen is projected to start for Miami. Chen is 1-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres are handing the ball to righty Jordan Lyles (1-1, 3.83 ERA), who has 40 punchouts and 15 walks to his name, as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Lyles did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.25 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.69 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.80, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 8.82.
Marlins hitters have slashed .232/.301/.346 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s offensive production been powered by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .287/.326/.392 with three home runs, 24 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Anderson (.283/.361/.385) is up to two homers, 24 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
For the home team, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.96 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.23 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The San Diego offense has put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .236/.293/.422 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Left fielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led the Padres’ hitters this year. Pirela is slashing .272/.328/.355 with 59 hits, 17 RBIs and 31 runs scored, and Hosmer’s line sits at .272/.364/.455 with six homers, 21 RBIs and 27 runs.
The Marlins have lost 1.9 units and are 19-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 0.5 units and are 7-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 11 of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.
Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Miami’s last seven games.
The Marlins have lost five of their last six games SU.
Miami has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 10 over their last 10.
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