The Cincinnati Reds will head west to take on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. This NL showdown will get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will showcase the game.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Cincinnati (-115) is coming into this one as the favorite against San Diego (+105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +130 for the Reds -1.5 runs and -150 for the Padres +1.5 runs.
The Reds are just 20-37 SU and have gone 30-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.0 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 25-33 SU and 28-29 ATS. The team has lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Padres games have an over/under record of 26-29-2 so far in 2018. The Reds have been a decent under bet with a total record of 24-31-2.
Tyler Mahle will get the nod for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Mahle is 3-6 with a 4.76 ERA and 56 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of Walker Lockett (0-0, ERA, WHIP), who has zero strikeouts and zero walks. Lockett did not accrue any MLB pitching stats last season.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.76 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.27 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.56.
Reds hitters have slashed .245/.323/.380 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto have led Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is slashing .343/.377/.551 with 10 home runs, 38 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Votto has a .295 average with six homers, 24 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.90, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 3.24 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The San Diego offense has put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .235/.299/.370 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Padres’ offense has been led by left fielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Pirela is slashing .276/.333/.362 with 61 hits, 17 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Hosmer’s line is .282/.373/.461 with six homers, 24 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 1.9 units and are 21-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.
Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Cincinnati defense has allowed four errors over its last five games, compared to zero errors for San Diego over its last five.
Both teams have hit 10 home runs over their last 10 outings.
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