The Boston Red Sox will be facing off against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. This AL matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 7:38 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Boston (+160) as the underdog to Houston (-170). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-135) and Astros -1.5 runs (+115).
The Red Sox have gone 40-19 SU this year and are 31-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 11.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.5 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 37-23 SU and 33-26 ATS. They’ve gained 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.0 units ATS. Houston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Houston games have had an over/under record of 22-33-4 so far in 2018. Red Sox games have gone over 29 times, gone under 27 times and pushed on two occasions.
Rick Porcello is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Porcello is 7-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 70 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 10.50 ERA and three strikeouts across six innings).
The Astros will turn to righty Charlie Morton (7-0, 2.26 ERA), who’s got 85 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.02. Morton only made one start against the Red Sox in 2017 (1-0, 3.38 ERA and four strikeouts across 5.1 innings).
Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.90 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.84 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.23, along with a WHIP of 1.22.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .264/.331/.463 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Boston’s hitters have been powered by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who collectively have blasted 36 home runs. Martinez is slashing .321/.381/.660 with 19 home runs, 50 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Betts (.359/.437/.750) has produced 17 homers, 37 RBIs, 52 runs and 13 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Houston’s pitchers have given up 2.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 2.58 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.04, a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 10.2.
The Houston offense is putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 6.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .247/.316/.406 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Astros’ batters have been led by second baseman Jose Altuve and right fielder George Springer. Altuve is hitting .332/.379/.459 with four home runs, 29 RBIs, 34 runs and eight stolen bases, and Springer’s line is .288/.351/.496 with 12 homers, 35 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
The Red Sox have gained 13.2 units and are 27-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 3.1 units and are 22-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 22 which went under the total.
Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Boston has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 17 over their last 10.
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