The Baltimore Orioles are paying a visit to Flushing to take on the Mets at Citi Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this interleague matchup.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets Odds
Baltimore (+110) is entering this game as the underdog against New York (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at -190 for taking the Orioles +1.5 runs and +165 for the Mets -1.5.
The Mets are 27-30 SU and 26-30 ATS. They’ve lost 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units against the spread (ATS). New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles have gone 17-41 SU this year and are 20-38 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 23.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.6 units ATS. Baltimore hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Mets games have had an over/under record of 25-30-1 so far in 2018. The Orioles have been a decent under bet with a total record of 25-31-2.
Alex Cobb will get the start for Baltimore. The right-handed Cobb is 1-7 with a 6.80 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Jason Vargas (2-3, 8.53 ERA), who has 23 strikeouts and 11 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.86. Vargas only made one start against the Orioles in 2017 (0-1, 5.40 ERA and six strikeouts across five innings).
New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.62 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
New York’s hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .166/.266/.274 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ offense has been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .292/.335/.507 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .258/.287/.376 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs.
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.48 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.29, along with a K-per-9 of 8.31.
Orioles hitters have slashed .231/.295/.388 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 2.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .327/.398/.633 with 18 home runs, 47 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Jones (.284/.303/.474) is up to 10 homers, 28 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 4.8 units and are 7-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 2.5 units and are 18-21 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Mets have lost five of their last six games SU.
Baltimore has recorded 17.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.0 over its last five.
The Orioles have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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