The Atlanta Braves will be taking on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will televise this NL showdown.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+115) is the home-team underdog against Atlanta (-125) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at +120 for taking the Braves -1.5 runs and -140 for the Padres +1.5.
The Braves have gone 35-25 SU this year and are 33-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.5 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 28-34 SU and 31-30 ATS. They’ve lost 0.4 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units ATS.
San Diego games have an over/under record of 30-29-2 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 25-30-3.
Left-hander Sean Newcomb is projected to start for the visiting Braves. Newcomb is 6-1 with a 2.73 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and eight strikeouts over six innings).
The Padres will put the ball in the right hand of Jordan Lyles (2-1, 3.65 ERA), who has 47 strikeouts and 16 walks as well as a 1.14 WHIP. Lyles did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.87 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.22 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The San Diego offense is putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 7.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .304/.378/.500 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and outfielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is slashing .293/.379/.477 with seven home runs, 28 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Pirela’s line is .271/.327/.356 with 64 hits, 19 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.45 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.86, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
The Braves offense has slashed .260/.333/.422 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman continue to lead Atlanta’s hitters. Markakis is hitting .331/.394/.494 with seven home runs, 39 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Freeman (.328/.424/.524) has produced nine homers, 40 RBIs, 35 runs and five steals.
The Braves have gained 10.9 units and are 25-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 0.5 units and are 8-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in just one of San Diego’s last seven games.
The Padres have won six of their last seven games SU.
Atlanta has posted 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.6 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 14 over their last 10.
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