The Cleveland Cavaliers (0-2) meet the Golden State Warriors (2-0) at Quicken Loans Arena in game three of the NBA Finals. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, June 6, 2018, and will air on ABC.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217.5 points with Golden State set as a 5-point favorite.
Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers Free Prediction
James put up 29 points, 13 assists and nine rebounds in game two, in which the Cavaliers lost 122-103, unable to cover as 11.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 225 points, which was 9 points above the projected point total of 216 points. Golden State made 15 of its 36 three pointers (41.7 percent). Cleveland, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.0 vs. 21.2).
This matchup pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Cleveland ranks fifth in offensive efficiency and Golden State is fifth in defensive efficiency.
Golden State is 72-29 straight up (SU), but they have a hard time covering the spread (43-55-3 against the spread (ATS)). Just over half of the Warriors’ games have finished under the total.
Cleveland is 62-40 SU, but they struggle covering the spread (41-59-2 ATS). Vegas has been spot on when setting the total of Cavaliers games, with an even split between overs and unders.
The Warriors are 14-10 ATS with 14 unders, nine overs and one push in the playoffs, while the Cavaliers are 13-8 with 11 unders, nine overs and one push
Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Golden State is 22-26-1 ATS on the road with 26 unders and 23 overs.
At home, Cleveland is 17-32-1 ATS with 26 unders, 23 overs and 1 push.
When allowing below 100 points, Cleveland is 22-6 and Golden State is 22-7.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Cavaliers are 58-20 and the Warriors are 68-17.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.7) while Cleveland ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (25.1).
The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (7.1) while the Cavaliers rank 26th (3.9).
Cleveland ranks ninth in steals allowed per game (7.3) while Golden State ranks 27th (8.5).
The Warriors rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Cavaliers rank 21st (15.7).
Golden State averages 29.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (31.2).
The Warriors rank first in fast break points per game (18.9) while the Cavaliers rank 14th (11.9).
Cleveland ranks 14th in second chance points allowed per game (12.7) while Golden State ranks 25th (13.4).
The Warriors rank 14th in rebounds per game (43.9) while the Cavaliers rank 25th (41.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Cleveland is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.6, up from 6.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 99.2 points per game (9.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.0 points per game (4.4 below their season average).
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