The Philadelphia Phillies are ready to face the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be televised on NSC+ and NSPA.
Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Phillies have gone 32-26 SU this year and are 26-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 10.1 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 33-24 SU and 28-28 ATS. They’ve lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.3 units ATS.
Cubs games have an over/under record of 24-31-1 thus far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 24-29-4.
Right-hander Aaron Nola will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. Nola is 7-2 with a 2.18 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Cubs will put the ball in the left hand of Jose Quintana (6-4, 4.30 ERA, 1.41 WHIP), who has 57 punchouts and 29 walks. Quintana only made one start against the Phillies in 2017 (0-1, 10.80 ERA and seven strikeouts across five innings).
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.34 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.84 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.57, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 9.27.
The Phillies offense has slashed .233/.317/.384 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 2.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .304/.367/.467 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Hernandez has a .264 average with seven homers, 21 RBIs, 39 runs and 10 steals.
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have given up 3.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.67 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.58, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.0.
The Chicago hitters have put up 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .296/.364/.398 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez have led the Cubs’ hitters this year. Bryant is hitting .293/.402/.512 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and Baez’s line is .265/.296/.553 with 14 homers, 45 RBIs, 35 runs and eight steals.
The Phillies have gained 4.3 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 4.0 units and are 20-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 23 that went under.
Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in four of Chicago’s last seven games.
Philadelphia has posted 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 13.8 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 11 over their last 10.
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