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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets Free Preview 06/06/18

Patrick McDermott-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field. This interleague matchup will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to televise the game.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (-115) as the favorite over Baltimore (+105). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -130 and the under for +110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -200 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +170 for the Mets -1.5.

NFC East, Coach Rankings, Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys

The Mets are 27-31 SU and 26-30 ATS. The team has lost 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units against the spread (ATS). New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Orioles have gone 18-41 SU this year and are 20-38 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 23.4 units for moneyline bettors and 21.6 units ATS. Baltimore hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 25-30-1 so far in 2018. Orioles games have gone under 31 times, gone over 25 times and pushed on two occasions.

Dylan Bundy will get the start for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Bundy is 3-7 with a 4.46 ERA and 83 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Zack Wheeler (2-4, 5.14 ERA), who has 57 strikeouts and 21 walks as well as a 1.48 WHIP. Wheeler did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.41 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 7.85 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.23, along with a K-per-9 of 8.28.

The Orioles offense has slashed .231/.294/.385 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s offense has been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones, who collectively have blasted 28 home runs. Machado is hitting .326/.395/.626 with 18 home runs, 48 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Jones (.284/.302/.470) has produced 10 homers, 28 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.90, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 4.53 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

New York’s hitters have put up 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 1.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .135/.234/.212 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

The Mets’ offense has been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .287/.329/.498 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .255/.288/.372 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs.

The Orioles have lost 18.6 units and are 13-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 2.5 units and are 18-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 20 which went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Mets have lost six of their last seven games SU.

New York has recorded 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 10.6 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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