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New York Yankees at New York Mets Free Pick 06/08/18

Mets vs Diamondbacks
Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will head across the state to play the New York Mets at Citi Field. This interleague matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Odds

the Mets (+100) are the underdog to The Yankees (-110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Yankees -1.5 runs (+135) and Mets +1.5 runs (-155).

Big 12, Heisman Trophy, College Football

The Mets are 27-32 SU and 26-32 ATS. They’ve lost 9.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.8 units against the spread (ATS). They’ve covered the spread only once in their last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Yankees are 40-18 SU and have gone 33-25 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 12.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.7 units ATS. covered the spread six times in their last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Mets games have an over/under record of 25-32-1 so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 31-24-3.

Masahiro Tanaka will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Tanaka is 7-2 with a 4.79 ERA and 65 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets are turning to righty Jacob deGrom (4-0, 1.49 ERA), who has 98 strikeouts and 21 walks to his name as well as a 1.04 WHIP. deGrom only made one start against the Yankees in 2017 (0-1, 6.14 ERA and four strikeouts across seven and 1-third innings).

the Yankees’ pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and their starters own a 3.91 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.17, along with a K/9 of 12.14.

Yankees hitters have slashed .255/.338/.467 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar continue to lead New York’s hitters. Judge is slashing .274/.401/.566 with 17 home runs, 43 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Andujar has a .306 average with seven homers, 26 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

For the home team, the Mets’ pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year. Their starters have an ERA of 3.82, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 4.53 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

New York’s offense has put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game over its last 10 games and 1.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .140/.234/.205 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have paced the Mets’ offense this year. Cabrera is slashing .286/.328/.498 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .251/.284/.366 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 5.3 units and are 23-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 24 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 5.1 units and are 18-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games SU while the Mets have lost seven of their last eight SU.

The Mets have recorded 16.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over their last 10 contests and 10.8 over their last five.

The Yankees have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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