The St. Louis Cardinals will be taking on their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Midwest is in line to televise the action and the game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (+115) is the home-team underdog against St. Louis (-125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Cardinals -1.5 runs (+120) and Reds +1.5 runs (-140).
The Reds are only 22-42 SU and 32-31 ATS. The team has lost 14.0 units for moneyline bettors and 9.8 units against the spread (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in all seven of them. The Cardinals have gone 34-27 SU this year and are 29-31 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 30-31-2 thus far in 2018. The Cardinals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 23-33-4.
Michael Wacha will get the nod for St. Louis. The right-handed Wacha is 7-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with eight strikeouts and a 3.09 ERA against Cincinnati this year (two starts).
The Reds will send righty Luis Castillo (4-6, 5.64 ERA) to the mound. Castillo has 64 strikeouts and 26 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.45. Castillo is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.79, a WHIP of 1.54 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 26 games against NL Central opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 6.07 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.33.
Cincinnati’s offense has produced 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .318/.389/.434 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Gennett is hitting .345/.382/.569 with 12 home runs, 45 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Votto’s line sits at .307/.422/.439 with six homers, 27 RBIs and 32 runs.
In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 2.97 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 7.97 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.54, along with a K/9 of 8.52.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .242/.318/.392 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna continue to lead St. Louis’ hitters. Martinez is slashing .315/.381/.500 with eight home runs, 39 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Ozuna (.275/.325/.378) has produced five homers, 30 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
The Cardinals have lost 3.0 units and are 21-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 12.8 units and are 22-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 24 that went under.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Cincinnati has posted 27.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 30.2 over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 10 over their last 10.
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