The Milwaukee Brewers are set to host their NL Central nemesis Chicago Cubs at Miller Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and the action will be shown on NSC+ and FSWI.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Vegas is listing Chicago (-125) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+115). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 or the under for +100. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +120 for betting the Cubs -1.5 runs and -140 for the Brewers +1.5.
The Brewers are 39-26 SU and 37-27 ATS. The team has gained 15.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.2 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Cubs have gone 37-25 SU this year and are 31-30 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.3 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Brewers games have a 25-37-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Cubs have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 25-35-1.
The left-handed Jose Quintana will get the start for the visiting Cubs. Quintana is 6-4 with a 4.20 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year (two starts).
The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Junior Guerra (3-4, 2.83 ERA, 1.14 WHIP), who’s got 56 strikeouts and 21 walks. Guerra is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.17, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.53, a WHIP of 1.14 and a K/9 of 10.4. In 26 games against NL Central foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.11 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.23.
Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 2.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .282/.330/.464 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .310/.379/.486 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs, 42 runs and seven stolen bases, and Cain is batting .284 with seven homers, 21 RBIs, 37 runs and 12 steals.
For the visitors, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.50 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.79, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.24.
Cubs hitters have slashed .262/.344/.424 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Chicago’s offense has been led by third baseman Kris Bryant and catcher Willson Contreras. Bryant is slashing .293/.402/.500 with eight home runs, 29 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Contreras (.281/.372/.453) is up to four homers, 22 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
The Cubs have lost 2.0 units and are 23-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 0.7 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in seven of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Cubs have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 13 over their last 10.
Milwaukee has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.4 over its last five.
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