It will be a battle between MWC opponents when the Colorado State Rams (10-9, 3-3 MWC) welcome the Air Force Falcons (7-10, 1-4 MWC) to Moby Arena. The game is scheduled to get underway at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 17, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 140 points with Colorado State set as a 9-point favorite.
Air Force Falcons vs. Colorado State Rams Betting Prediction
The Falcons will be hoping for similar success after topping the San Jose State Spartans in their last outing, 78-71. The Falcons had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 37.8 (above their season average of 30.0) and had a turnover percentage of 10.5 (better than their season average of 17.5). Air Force was led by Ryan Swan-Ford, who was the top scorer from either team with 19 points on 6-for-11 shooting.
In the Rams’ last matchup, they were victorious over the Wyoming Cowboys, 78-73. Colorado State’s 35.1 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Wyoming, who had a mark of 23.1. The Rams’ mark was above their season average of 30.6. Che Bob led Colorado State in scoring with 17 points on 6-for-8 shooting.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Colorado State offense. Colorado State ranks 183rd in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 19.0 percent), while the gambling defense of Air Force forces the 55th-most turnovers in the nation (22.0 percent).
Air Force holds records of 7-10 straight up (SU) and 8-4 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Falcons tend to finish over the total (58.3 percent).
Meanwhile, Colorado State owns records of 10-9 SU and 6-9 ATS. Similarly to Air Force, games including the Rams also have a tendency to finish over the total (60.0 percent).
Nico Carvacho has averaged 10.6 rebounds, 10.2 points, 1.4 steals and 1.4 blocks over the last five games for Colorado State.
After the Rams won both contests against the Falcons last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the last game, Colorado State won 81-55. The Rams had a much better turnover percentage (6.8 vs. 16.0) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.3 vs. 15.2).
Air Force Falcons at Colorado State Rams Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Colorado State, ATS Winner – Air Force, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Air Force is 4-3 ATS on the road with 4 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Colorado State is 3-3 ATS with 4 unders and 2 overs.
Colorado State ranks 84th in rebounds per game (37.6) while Air Force ranks 245th (32.8).
The Falcons average 23.2 three pointers per game, which ranks 102nd in the nation. The Rams rank 224th in three pointers allowed per game (25.1).
Colorado State is 17th in the NCAA with 2.3 blocks allowed per game while Air Force is 58th with 3.0 blocks allowed per game.
The Falcons average 13.6 assists per game, which ranks 148th in the NCAA. The Rams rank 180th in assists allowed per game (14.5).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Air Force is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Colorado State is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Falcons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.0, up from 2.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Rams have scored an average of 73.6 points per game (2.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 71.8 points per game (3.6 below their season average).
