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Air Force Falcons at San Diego State Aztecs ATS Preview 01/30/19

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

It will be a battle between MWC opponents when the San Diego State Aztecs (11-8, 3-3 MWC) welcome the Air Force Falcons (9-11, 4-4 MWC) to Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl. The game is scheduled to start at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 30, 2019.

Air Force Falcons at San Diego State Aztecs Betting Prediction

The Falcons come in on a high note after edging the San Jose State Spartans in their last game, 73-71. Air Force’s 8.1 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over San Jose State, who had a rate of 20.0. The Falcons’ mark was better than their season average of 20.2, while the Spartans’ was above the 15.7 mark opponents have averaged against Air Force this season. Ryan Swan was a key piece for Air Force with 12 points and 17 rebounds.

In the Aztecs’ previous game, they defeated the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels, 94-77. The Aztecs made 24 of their 30 free throws (80.0 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 42.9 (above their season average of 29.9). Jalen McDaniels was the top scorer from either team with 30 points on 9-for-15 shooting from the field.

This is the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Swan recorded 15 points and 15 rebounds and the Falcons defeated the Aztecs 62-48. The Falcons had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (29.7 vs. 20.0) and had a much better turnover percentage (13.6 vs. 18.9).

Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Lavelle Scottie (17 points,6.6 rebounds) has been stellar for the Falcons while McDaniels (19 points,9.8 rebounds) has contributed greatly to the Aztecs.

San Diego State should have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Aztecs rank 65th in offensive efficiency, while the Falcons rank 216th in defensive efficiency.

Air Force Falcons at San Diego State Aztecs Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes:

San Diego State averages 15.6 assists per game, which ranks 42nd in the NCAA. Air Force ranks 165th in assists allowed per game (13.8).

The Falcons rank 178th in three pointers attempted per game (21.4) while the Aztecs rank 246th in three pointers allowed per game (25.5).

San Diego State ranks 136th in steals per game (6.1) while Air Force ranks 189th in steals allowed per game (7.8).

The Aztecs are 17th in the nation with 2.3 blocks allowed per game while the Falcons are 25th with 2.5 blocks allowed per game.

Bettings Trends:

The Falcons have outscored opponents by an average of 6.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Air Force has lost by an average of 2.3 points.

During their last five games, the Aztecs have scored an average of 77.0 points per game (0.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 67.2 points per game (3.3 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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