The Denver Pioneers (3-4) challenge the Air Force Falcons (3-3) at Magness Arena. The game is scheduled to begin at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 2, 2017.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 145 points with Denver opening as a 5.5-point favorite.
Air Force Falcons at Denver Pioneers Betting Prediction
In the Falcons’ last game, they were defeated by the Indiana State Sycamores, 74-64. Indiana State’s 21.5 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Air Force, who had a rate of 25.3. The Sycamores’ mark was worse than their season average of 19.6, while the Falcons’ was above their season average of 15.8. Air Force’s Frank Toohey had a good performance, recording 10 points and seven rebounds.
The Pioneers were victorious over the Wyoming Cowboys in their last outing, 88-78. The Pioneers held the Cowboys to an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.1 (below the 27.0 mark opponents have averaged against Denver this season) and had a free throw rate of 0.500 (above their season average of 0.268). With 18 points, 12 rebounds and five assists, Joe Rosga had a solid performance for Denver.
Denver could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their sweet-shooting offense faces off against one of the NCAA’s worst defenses. Dating back to the 2016-17 season, the Pioneers rank 41st in effective field goal percentage (0.543), while Air Force ranks 329th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.541). Furthermore, the Falcons, who rank 280th in offensive rebounding percentage (27.0 percent), will go head-to-head against the Pioneers, who rank 21st in defensive rebounding percentage (75.1 percent).
Air Force holds records of 3-3 straight up (SU) and 3-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Falcons’ 5 games with betting action, three have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Denver owns records of 3-4 SU and 2-4 ATS. Similarly to Air Force, games including the Pioneers also have typically gone over the O/U total (66.7 percent).
The Pioneers won the sole contest against the Falcons last season, 77-65. Denver’s effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Air Force. The Pioneers had a rate of 0.637 while the Falcons posted a mark of 0.471.
Air Force Falcons vs. Denver Pioneers Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Denver, ATS Winner – Denver, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
Denver ranks 59th in assists allowed per game (11.7) while Air Force ranks 273rd (15.1).
The Falcons rank 120th in three pointers attempted per game (22.2) while the Pioneers rank 275th (18.4).
Air Force ranks 141st in steals allowed per game (6.1) while Denver ranks 247th (7.1).
The Pioneers rank 17th in rebounds allowed per game (31.2) while the Falcons rank 118th (34.3).
Denver ranks 270th in blocks per game (2.1) while Air Force ranks 281st (1.8).
