This looks like a potential shootout as the Air Force Falcons (2-1) meet the Navy Midshipmen (3-0). The game will begin Saturday, Oct 3 at 3:30 p.m. ET and can be seen on CBSS.
Navy beat Connecticut 28-18 last week. Jamir Tillman had a solid game in the win, registering one reception for 19 yards and one TD. Air Force didn’t have the same success as Navy, falling to Michigan State 35-21 in its matchup. Jalen Robinette had an outstanding performance for the Falcons, totaling two receptions for 82 yards and one TD. Garrett Brown finished with 68 receiving yards on three receptions.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable at the moment.
Heading into Week 5 of the college football season, the Midshipmen are unbeaten with a 3-0 record Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). A major reason for success this season is the Navy passing game, where they average 14.8 yards per pass. Transitioning to the Navy defense, there are a few things to keep in mind when it is on the field. A vital part of the game will be whether the Falcons can secure the ball from Navy’s hungry defense. They average the fourth-most fumbles recovered in the nation with 1.3 per game. The Midshipmen make it hard on their opponents in the second quarter. Navy averages 18.7 points during that period, more than any other team in the country. Don’t anticipate many blunders and oversights from Navy. They are one of the least penalized teams in Division I (25th), averaging only 42 penalty yards per game.
Across the field, the Falcons are a strong bet ATS this season with a 3-0 record to go along with a 2-1 SU record this season. The Falcons are usually effective at running the ball, owning the 11th-best yards per carry average in the nation at 6.0. Switching gears to the Air Force defense, there are certain areas where it measures up well against the Midshipmen. The secondary for the Falcons will be looking to shut down the weak passing attack of the Midshipmen, which ranks 128th in the nation with an average of 49.3 passing yards per game. The Falcons generally save their best for last, averaging 11.3 points in the fourth quarter.
Predictions: SU Winner – Air Force, ATS Winner – Air Force
Notes
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Navy’s last 9 games.
Navy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy’s last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy’s last 6 games when playing Air Force.
Navy is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Air Force.
Navy is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Air Force.
Navy is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Air Force.
Navy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Air Force.
Air Force is 2-0 SU when leading at the half this season. Navy is 3-0 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
The Navy passing attack is ranked only 128th nationally, while the Air Force pass defense is ranked 34th. The Falcons passing game is ranked just 125th, compared to the 73rd-ranked pass defense of the Midshipmen.
