The Aggies of Utah State (-11) are ready to welcome their MWC counterpart Air Force Falcons to Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on ESPN2 and kickoff is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET.
Air Force Falcons at Utah State Aggies Betting Preview
Air Force is a live dog and is currently getting 11 points in this Saturday MWC game. The Falcons are also receiving +315 moneyline odds while the Aggies are -425. This MWC tilt should provide several decent in-game betting opportunities, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 63.5 points.
Early action has swayed toward the Aggies, as the opening line was -9. The over/under has yet to change after it was set initially at 63.5.
The Falcons have recorded 0.0 units so far and are 2-0 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U mark of 1-0. The Aggies have gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-0 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-0.
The Falcons have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any MWC competition yet. The Aggies are 2-1 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.
The Falcons fell to Florida Atlantic 33-27 in a game where Isaiah Sanders completed eight passes for just 164 yards, as well as a TD and an interception. Sanders (34 yards on 18 rush attempts) also mounted the ground attack. Marcus Bennett (two receptions, 87 yards) and Ronald Cleveland (two catches, 23 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Utah State just picked up a 73-12 win over Tennessee Tech. As a group, the team collectively completed 30-of-35 passes for 291 yards and two touchdowns. Jordan Love went 21-for-26 for 236 yards and two touchdowns while Henry Colombi was nine-of-nine for 55 yards. Gerold Bright (55 yards on 13 rush attempts, one TD) and Darwin Thompson (107 yards on six carries, one TD) mounted the running game while Ron’Quavion Tarver (five receptions, 30 yards) and Jalen Greene (four catches, 31 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Air Force has run the ball on 86.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Utah State has a rush percentage of 50.7 percent. The Falcons have produced 271 rush yards per game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Aggies are averaging 206 rush yards per game and have 13 total rushing TDs.
The Falcons offense has averaged 97 yards through the air overall and has only one passing TDs so far. The Aggies have put up 261 pass yards per game and have three total pass scores.
Defensively, Air Force has allowed 42 rush yards and 258 pass yards per game. The Utah State defense has given up 177.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 142.0 yards per game on the ground. The Aggies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.93 to opposing QBs, while the Falcons have given up an 8.21 ANY/A.
Offensively, Sanders is up to 164 passing yards this season, and has completed 62 percent of his 13 attempts with one scores through the air and one interception. He has a pristine 9.64 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.
Jordan Love has completed 50-of-70 passes for 555 yards, two TDs and two INTs for Utah State. His ANY/A sits at 6.75 for the year and 7.15 across his last two games.
These two squads met a year ago with the final result being a 38-35 win for Air Force.
Betting Pick: Air Force Falcons at Utah State Aggies
SU Winner – Air Force, ATS Winner – Air Force, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
Air Force was favored by 8 points in its last game and the Over/Under was 59.5. The over cashed and Air Force did not cover in the 33-27 defeat to Florida Atlantic.
Utah State has lost three fumbles this season while Air Force has let two get away.
Utah State was favored by 44 points in its previous matchup and the Over/Under was set at 63.5. The over cashed and Utah State covered in the team’s 73-12 win over Tennessee Tech.
Over its last three matches, Utah State is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The Falcons offense has created one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Aggies have put up zero such plays.
The Air Force defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Utah State has given up one such play.
The Air Force offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Utah State has created seven such runs.
The Falcons defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Aggies have given up five such runs.
The Utah State defensive unit has registered three times as many sacks as Air Force this season (nine to three).
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