The Texas A&M Aggies (20-11, 9-9 SEC) meet the Alabama Crimson Tide (17-14, 8-10 SEC) in the Southeastern Conference Tourney at Scottrade Center. The game starts at 1 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 8, 2018, and will air on SEC Network.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 138.5 points with Texas A&M opening as a 1.5-point favorite.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas A&M Aggies Betting Prediction
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Aggies won the most recent matchup 68-66, but were unable to cover as 5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 134 points, which was 8 points below the projected point total of 142 points. The Aggies had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (38.1 vs. 31.8) and had a better turnover percentage (14.3 vs. 15.7). Despite the loss, Sexton was the game’s leading scorer with 23 points.
The offensive glass could be a major advantage for Texas A&M in this showdown. The Aggies are among the NCAA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 33rd in offensive rebounding percentage at 34.1 percent. Meanwhile, Alabama ranks 279th in the nation at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 69.0 percent. Also, the Crimson Tide rank 48th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.281), while the Aggies rank 51st in opponents’ FTA rate (0.198).
Alabama heads into the game with records of 17-14 straight up (SU) and 15-14-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to set the total high when the Crimson Tide are involved, as 69.0 percent of their games have ended under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Texas A&M owns records of 20-11 SU and 13-15 ATS. Vegas has been spot on when setting the O/U total of Aggies games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Tyler Davis has averaged 16.0 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.2 blocks over the last five games for Texas A&M.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas A&M Aggies Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Alabama, ATS Winner – Alabama, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Texas A&M averages 41.3 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the nation. Alabama ranks 210th in rebounds allowed per game (36.2).
The Crimson Tide rank fifth in blocks per game (5.8) while the Aggies rank 186th in blocks allowed per game (4.3).
Texas A&M ranks 43rd in assists per game (15.8) while Alabama ranks 192nd (12.8).
The Crimson Tide rank 147th in three pointers allowed per game (21.5) while the Aggies rank 238th (23.7).
Alabama ranks 106th in steals per game (6.5) while Texas A&M ranks 137th in steals allowed per game (6.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Alabama is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Texas A&M is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Crimson Tide have been outscored by an average of 11.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Alabama has defeated opponents by an average of 2.7 points.
During their last five games, the Aggies have scored an average of 74.8 points per game (0.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 78.8 points per game (9.0 above their season average).
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