The Alabama State Hornets (4-9, 2-0 SWAC) look to snap their eight-game road losing streak in a matchup against the UAPB Golden Lions (4-10, 1-0 SWAC) at H.O. Clemmons Arena. The game begins at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.
Alabama State Hornets vs. UAPB Golden Lions ATS Prediction
The last time the Hornets played, they topped the Jackson State Tigers, 59-57. The Hornets had an absurd free throw rate of 0.538 (above their season average of 0.196), while the Tigers had a turnover percentage of 24.7 (above their season average of 18.3). With 13 points on 3-for-7 shooting, Jacoby Ross was the top scorer from either team.
The Golden Lions defeated the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils in their last outing, 64-52. The Golden Lions, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.453, had a mark of 0.510 and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.0 (above their season average of 26.9). Martaveous McKnight was the top scorer from either team with 25 points on 8-for-10 shooting from the field.
It could be an error-filled game for the UAPB offense. UAPB ranks 307th in the country in ball protection (turnover percentage of 21.6 percent), while the pesky defense of Alabama State forces the 73rd-most turnovers in the NCAA (21.8 percent).
After splitting two games last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. The Hornets won the most recent game 65-59. Alabama State had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (50.0 vs. 18.9). UAPB, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (13.9 vs. 21.9).
Alabama State Hornets vs. UAPB Golden Lions ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – UAPB, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
UAPB ranks 103rd in steals per game (6.4) while Alabama State ranks 154th in steals allowed per game (7.5).
The Hornets average 3.5 blocks per game, which ranks 84th in the NCAA. The Golden Lions rank 101st in blocks allowed per game (3.6).
Bettings Trends:
The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.4, down from 7.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Golden Lions have scored an average of 69.8 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 68.8 points per game (8.3 below their season average).
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