The Alcorn State Braves (4-7) look to end their six-game road losing streak in a matchup against the South Florida Bulls (8-2) at USF Sun Dome. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 21, 2018, and will air on ESPN 3.
Alcorn State Braves at South Florida Bulls ATS Prediction
The Braves are hoping for a better outcome after their 73-56 loss to the Tulsa Golden Hurricane in their last matchup. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Tulsa’s biggest advantages. They made 32 trips to the line, while Alcorn State went just 12 times. Deshaw Andrews was the game’s high scorer with 20 points on 5-for-8 shooting.
In the Bulls’ previous outing, they defeated the Alabama A&M Bulldogs, 80-63. The Bulls had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.651 vs. 0.510) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (38.5 vs. 31.3). With eight points, 10 assists and five rebounds, South Florida’s Laquincy Rideau played well.
It could be an error-filled game for the South Florida offense. South Florida ranks 336th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 22.5 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Alcorn State forces the 54th-most turnovers in the nation (22.3 percent). Also, the Braves’ 282nd-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 99.8) will square off against the Bulls’ 42nd-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 93.1).
Alcorn State vs. South Florida Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – South Florida, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
South Florida ranks 42nd in rebounds per game (40.6) while Alcorn State ranks 168th (35.0).
The Bulls rank 80th in assists per game (14.1) while the Braves rank 203rd in assists allowed per game (15.6).
Alcorn State ranks 20th in steals per game (8.6) while South Florida ranks 123rd in steals allowed per game (6.4).
The Braves rank 56th in three pointers attempted per game (25.8) while the Bulls rank 152nd in three pointers allowed per game (23.0).
Alcorn State ranks 39th in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while South Florida ranks 109th (4.1).
Bettings Trends:
The Braves have been outscored by an average of 14.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Alcorn State has defeated opponents by an average of 0.5 points.
During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 73.8 points per game (1.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 62.8 points per game (4.6 below their season average).
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