The UMBC Retrievers (4-2) clash against the American University Eagles (2-1) at the Retriever Activities Center. The game will air on ESPN 3 at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, 2018.
American University Eagles vs. UMBC Retrievers Betting Prediction
The last time the Eagles played, they thoroughly outplayed the New Hampshire Wildcats, 68-44. The Eagles had a much better free throw rate (0.259 vs. 0.049) and had a much better turnover percentage (12.5 vs. 19.3). American University was led by Sa’eed Nelson, who was the top scorer from either team with 14 points on 6-for-11 shooting.
The Retrievers fell to the South Dakota Coyotes in their last matchup, 58-52. South Dakota’s 0.333 free throw rate was their largest advantage over UMBC, who had a mark of 0.250. The Coyotes’ mark was above their season average of 0.277. With 13 points on 5-for-10 shooting, Arkel Lamar was UMBC’s high scorer.
The ineffective offense of American University will square off against the stingy defense of UMBC. Dating back to last season, the Eagles rank 330th in offensive efficiency, while the Retrievers are 27th in defensive efficiency. The Retrievers figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.
American University at UMBC Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – UMBC, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
American University ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (17.6) while UMBC ranks 221st (23.2).
The Retrievers rank 75th in assists per game (15.0) while the Eagles rank 274th (12.0).
UMBC averages 7.5 steals per game, which ranks 37th in the country. American University ranks 228th in steals allowed per game (6.8).
The Retrievers rank 188th in rebounds per game (35.0) while the Eagles rank 319th (29.9).
American University ranks 149th in blocks per game (3.3) while UMBC ranks 253rd (2.3).
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