The Arizona Diamondbacks are ready to face off against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast this interleague matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros Odds
Arizona (+175) is the underdog against Houston (-185) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 7 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-125) and Astros -1.5 runs (+105).
The Diamondbacks are 78-71 SU and are 74-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 4.0 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 93-55 SU and 75-72 ATS. The team’s lost 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS. Houston has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Astros games have a 65-75-7 over/under record in 2018. The Diamondbacks have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 66-76-6.
Zack Greinke will get the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. The right-handed Greinke (14-9, 3.11 ERA) has racked up 185 strikeouts in 188 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA against Houston this year.
The Astros are putting the ball in the right hand of Justin Verlander (15-9, 2.72 ERA), who has 258 strikeouts and 35 walks as well as a 0.94 WHIP. Verlander is 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.
Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.21, a WHIP of 1.13 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.3. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.93, a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 10.8.
The Houston offense has produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .230/.345/.327 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve have led the charge for the Astros’ hitters this year. Bregman is hitting .295/.401/.553 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs and 101 runs scored, and Altuve’s line sits at .318/.386/.459 with 12 homers, 56 RBIs, 78 runs and 16 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.76 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.31 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.59, along with a K/9 of 8.12.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .238/.316/.399 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Arizona’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta, who collectively have belted 60 home runs. Goldschmidt is slashing .299/.401/.557 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 93 runs scored, while Peralta is hitting .296/.353/.516 with 27 homers, 81 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have lost 2.9 units and are 49-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, as opposed to 49 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 0.7 units and are 48-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in four of Arizona’s last seven contests.
The Astros have won four of their last five games SU.
Arizona has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.0 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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