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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Matchup 05/21/18

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to the Arizona Diamondbacks at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to showcase this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:40 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers have placed matching moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Runline odds stand at +140 for taking the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -160 for the Brewers +1.5.

The Brewers are 28-19 SU and 28-18 ATS. They’ve gained 12.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.7 units against the spread (ATS). The Diamondbacks have gone 25-21 SU this year and are 21-24 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 6.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, but have lost 3.9 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 18-26-2 thus far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 20-23-2.

The right-handed Zack Greinke will get the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. Greinke is 3-2 with a 3.46 ERA and 58 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are handing the ball to righty Chase Anderson (3-3, 3.97 ERA), who’s got 30 strikeouts and 16 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Anderson hasn’t faced the Diamondbacks yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 0.69 ERA and 19 strikeouts.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.09 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.62, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.3.

Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .254/.311/.491 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Jesus Aguilar has helped lead the Brewers’ offense this season with seven home runs, 20 RBIs and 20 runs scored. Aguilar didn’t do very well against right-handed pitchers at home last year, slashing .171/.244/.366 in 90 such plate appearances (his total season line was .265/.331/.505).

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.76 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.37 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.64, along with a K/9 of 7.97.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .219/.297/.375 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 1.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been led by A.J. Pollock, who is slashing .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Brewers are coming off of a 3-1 loss against the Twins, while the Diamondbacks just lost a 4-1 game to the Mets.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.

The Diamondbacks have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.

Arizona has recorded 13.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 12.8 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.

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