The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to face the New York Mets at Citi Field. This NL showdown will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona.
Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Arizona (+175) as the underdog to New York (-185). The total sits at 7 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-125) and Mets +-1.5 runs (+105).
The Mets are 22-19 SU and 18-22 ATS. The team’s gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.9 units against the spread (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have gone 25-20 SU this year and are 21-23 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 7.8 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, but have lost 2.9 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 19-20-1 so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 19-23-2.
The right-handed Clay Buchholz will get the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. Buchholz is 0-0 with an ERA. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 23.14 ERA and two strikeouts over 2.1 innings).
The Mets will send righty Noah Syndergaard (3-1, 3.14 ERA) to the mound. Syndergaard has 61 strikeouts and 12 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Syndergaard did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.
Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.80 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.49 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.52, along with a K/9 of 8.01.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .219/.298/.379 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 2.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Arizona’s hitters have been powered by A.J. Pollock and Daniel Descalso, who have combined to launch 16 home runs. Pollock is slashing .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases, while Descalso has a .267 average with five homers, 22 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .197/.291/.328 across 141 plate appearances, Descalso didn’t do especially well against righties on the road in 2017 (his total season line was .235/.332/.399).
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.85 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
New York’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .281/.351/.443 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ offense has been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Cabrera is hitting .316/.364/.525 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Nimmo’s line is .269/.443/.478 with 18 hits, five RBIs and 15 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.351/.434, Cabrera did not do as well batting at home last year, slashing .245/.315/.366 over 241 plate appearances.
The Diamondbacks have lost 0.8 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 0.2 units and are 12-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Diamondbacks have lost nine of their last 10 games SU.
New York has recorded 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
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