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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals Matchup 04/27/18

Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks will head east to face off against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. This NL showdown will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Arizona (+130) as the dog to Washington (-140). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the spread with the current runline odds sitting at -170 for the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +150 for the Nationals -1.5.

The Diamondbacks have gone 17-7 SU this year and are 13-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 4.5 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Nationals are 11-14 SU and 11-14 ATS. The team’s lost 8.5 units for moneyline bettors and 4.0 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Nationals games have had an over/under record of 11-12-2 so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 11-11-1.

The Zack Godley is the projected starter for Arizona. Godley is 3-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 24 strikeouts.

The Nationals will start Stephen Strasburg (2-2, 2.97 ERA), who has 36 strikeouts and eight walks as well as a 0.99 WHIP.

As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.44, a WHIP of 1.12 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.1. The bullpen has a 5.28 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.

The Washington offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .237/.321/.349 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Nationals’ hitters have been led by right fielder Bryce Harper and shortstop Trea Turner. Harper is hitting .260/.460/.584 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Turner’s line is .267/.362/.366 with 27 hits, six RBIs, 12 runs and 10 steals.

Compared to his total season slash line of .285/.340/.455, Turner performed well against righty pitching at home in 2017, producing .312/.374/.532 across 155 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.52 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.70 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 1.77, along with a K/9 of 8.85.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .230/.317/.411 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta have led Arizona’s offense. Goldschmidt is hitting .279/.410/.547 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Peralta is hitting .317/.394/.500 with three homers, 14 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .298/.405/.560, Goldschmidt didn’t do as well hitting against right-handed pitchers on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .264/.368/.462 across 250 such plate appearances.

The Diamondbacks have lost 0.6 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 1.3 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in eight of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games SU.

Arizona has posted 17.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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