The Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to broadcast this NL matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Arizona (+100) is entering this one as the underdog to Milwaukee (-110) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-210) and Brewers +-1.5 runs (+175).
The Diamondbacks are 25-23 SU and have gone 21-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.3 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the year, despite having lost 6.2 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 30-19 SU and 29-19 ATS. The team’s gained 12.7 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 18-28-2 so far in 2018. Diamondbacks games have gone under 25 times, gone over 20 times and pushed on two instances.
Zack Godley will get the start for Arizona. The right-handed Godley is 4-3 with a 3.78 ERA and 49 strikeouts. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 1.42 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Brewers are going with lefty Brent Suter (3-3, 4.72 ERA), who’s got 36 strikeouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Suter did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.53, a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 10.3.
The Milwaukee offense has put up 4.0 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .242/.304/.452 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielder Lorenzo Cain and third baseman Travis Shaw. Cain is slashing .283/.391/.452 with six home runs, 15 RBIs, 29 runs and 10 steals, while Shaw’s line is .243/.325/.503 with 11 homers, 28 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.77 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.44 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 2.56, along with a K-per-9 of 8.02.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .215/.296/.369 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 1.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Arizona’s offense has been led by outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta, who have combined to belt 18 home runs. Pollock is slashing .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases, while Peralta (.265/.342/.446) is up to seven homers, 21 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .268/.333/.475, Pollock didn’t do especially well against lefties on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .192/.253/.356 across 79 such plate appearances.
The Diamondbacks have gained 7.3 units and are 10-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in eight of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 11.4 units and are 24-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve cashed the under.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Arizona’s last seven games.
The Diamondbacks have lost 12 of their last 13 games SU while the Brewers have won five of their last six SU.
Arizona has recorded 12.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 12.0 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
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