In the last of a three-game series between the New York Mets (57-56) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (47-66) at Citi Field, Noah Syndergaard (9-6, 2.64 ERA) and Braden Shipley (1-1, 4.15 ERA) get the ball. The Diamondbacks won the last game 3-2, and Arizona leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 12:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 11 and will air on FSAZ and SNY.
In his last start, Syndergaard pitched 6.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 4-3 loss to the Tigers. Jay Bruce (.259, 63 Rs, 27 HRs, 84 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. The Diamondbacks were victorious over the Brewers 3-2 the last time Shipley pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out two and walking six. Paul Goldschmidt (.297, 66 Rs, 18 HRs, 74 RBIs, 14 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
New York is a considerable -222 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at seven runs. The Mets are 42-35 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,169. The Mets don’t give up many walks to opposing batters, leading the NL with only 2.6 walks allowed per game. An area where the Mets are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.5 K’s per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Diamondbacks come into this game with a weak win percentage of .364 when playing as the underdog (24-42) and an overall money line of -1,926. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 2-5 record when playing as the underdog and a SU record of 4-6. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Arizona pitchers. They allowed 8.0 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 5.5.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 2-0 against the Mets. This game will feature Shipley (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have a 44-40 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Syndergaard will take the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 31-51 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after seven innings, New York is 20-21, while Arizona is 22-34.
The Diamondbacks are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have a 6-16 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 8-48. The Mets have an 18-42 record when opponents outhit them.
Arizona ranks in the bottom half of the league at 18th when it comes to home runs, hitting 129 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 with 148.
Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.91 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.12.
Ranking 23rd, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.712). Arizona ranks in the top half at 13th with an OPS of .749.
When the Diamondbacks allow at least one home run, they are 23-55, well-matched with the Mets who are 24-39 when allowing at least one homer.