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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick 09/10/18

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks will pay a visit to Denver to face their NL West rival Rockies at Coors Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast the action.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Colorado (-135) as the favorite over Arizona (+125). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 10 runs and -115 for under 10. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-170) and Rockies -1.5 runs (+150).

The Rockies are 78-64 straight up (SU) and 73-68 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 15.7 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units (ATS). The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have gone 76-67 SU this year and are 72-70 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.5 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 7.1 units ATS.

Colorado games have an over/under record of 59-76-6 in 2018. The Diamondbacks have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 63-73-6.

Zack Godley is getting the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. The right-handed Godley (14-8, 4.51 ERA) has recorded 170 strikeouts in 159.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 4.22 ERA against Colorado this year (two starts).

The Rockies will turn to righty German Marquez (11-9, 4.05 ERA), who’s got 184 punchouts and 52 walks to his name as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Marquez is 1-1 with 22 strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA across four starts against Arizona this year.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.31 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.88 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 63 games against NL West foes, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.10 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.22.

Colorado’s offense has produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .255/.317/.552 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Trevor Story and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led the Rockies’ batters this year. Story is slashing .293/.348/.555 with 31 home runs, 96 RBIs, 77 runs and 25 stolen bases, and Blackmon’s line sits at .282/.348/.488 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs, 104 runs and 12 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.69 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.31, along with a K/9 of 8.14.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .238/.318/.398 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta, who have combined to launch 59 home runs. Goldschmidt is slashing .298/.403/.559 with 33 home runs, 82 RBIs and 90 runs scored, while Peralta (.297/.355/.519) has produced 26 homers, 76 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 0.4 units and are 48-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 9.0 units and are 42-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 43 which went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of Arizona’s last seven contests.

The Diamondbacks have dropped three of their last four games SU.

Arizona has recorded 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 16 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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