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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick 09/13/18

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be squaring off against their NL West nemesis Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on FB.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Odds

Arizona (+120) is the underdog against Colorado (-130) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 10.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-175) and Rockies -1.5 runs (+155).

The Diamondbacks are 77-69 SU and are 73-72 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, losing 4.0 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 5.7 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 80-65 SU and 74-70 ATS. The team’s gained 14.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.8 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Rockies games have had an over/under record of 61-77-6 in 2018. The Diamondbacks have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 65-74-6.

Right-hander Clay Buchholz is the probable starter for the visiting Diamondbacks. Buchholz is 7-2 with a 2.01 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Rockies are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Kyle Freeland (14-7, 2.91 ERA), who’s got 153 punchouts and 63 walks to his name, as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Freeland is 0-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 4.96 ERA across three starts against Arizona this year.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.32, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.81 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 66 games against divisional opponents, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.13 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.06.

The Colorado hitters have produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .314/.352/.587 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Rockies’ hitters have been led by shortstop Trevor Story and right fielder Charlie Blackmon. Story is hitting .291/.345/.554 with 32 home runs, 100 RBIs, 78 runs and 25 stolen bases, and Blackmon’s line is .286/.352/.491 with 26 homers, 62 RBIs and 107 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.73 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.45, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 8.09.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .238/.317/.398 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta have paced Arizona’s hitters. Goldschmidt is slashing .300/.403/.560 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 92 runs scored, while Peralta is slashing .295/.353/.518 with 27 homers, 78 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 2.1 units and are 24-26 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 9.0 units and are 43-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Arizona has recorded 11 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Colorado has 28 XBH over its last five.

Arizona fielders have committed five errors over their last five games, compared to two errors for Colorado over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 19 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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