Patrick Corbin (5-3, 3.32 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (68-74) take on Zack Greinke (16-3, 1.68 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (81-60) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the last of a three-game series at Chase Field. The Dodgers won the last game 9-5 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 13 and can be seen on FSAZ and SNLA.
Corbin pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs and striking out five in a 6-1 win over the Giants. Paul Goldschmidt (.318, 88 Rs, 28 HRs, 99 RBIs, 21 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4. Greinke went 6.0 innings, surrendering three runs and striking out five in a 7-5 win over the Angels in his last outing. Andre Ethier (.295, 49 Rs, 13 HRs, 44 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Dodgers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Los Angeles takes on Arizona as a -137 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of -282 and a record as the underdog of 37-46. Arizona has gone winless (0-5) as the underdog and 4-6 SU in its last 10 outings. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 119 bases. Arizona’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.5 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.4.
In games where it is the favorite, Los Angeles has a 71-51 record and an overall money line of -608. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 5-1 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, the Dodgers have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 5.2 during that stretch. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with an NL-best 3.5 per game. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Dodgers are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season. The Dodgers have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.6 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Dodgers have controlled the season series, 10-4. The Diamondbacks have a 52-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Greinke takes the mound. Corbin (LHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have a 15-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 27-22, while Arizona is 26-26.
The Dodgers managed to give up six walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Diamondbacks who are heading in with a 5-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 48-18. The Dodgers have a 61-11 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th in runs, Los Angeles has earned 586 this season. Arizona ranks fourth with 639 runs.
Los Angeles tops the league in walks with 492 this season. Arizona ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 427.
When the Diamondbacks hit at least one home run, they are 50-30, well-matched with the Dodgers who are 60-36 when hitting one or more homers.
