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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Free Preview 06/28/18

Marlins vs Braves
Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to play the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox Sports Arizona will be showing this NL matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (+160) is the home-team underdog against Arizona (-170) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Runline odds stand at -120 for picking the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and +100 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.

The Diamondbacks have gone 46-34 SU this year and are 43-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.7 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in three of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 32-49 SU and 42-38 ATS. The team has gained 0.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.7 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Miami games have an over/under record of 42-37-1 so far in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 38-36-5.

The right-handed Zack Greinke is getting the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Greinke (7-5, 3.66 ERA) has recorded 102 strikeouts in 96 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA against Miami this year.

The Marlins are sending Trevor Richards (2-4, 4.91 ERA) to the hill. Richards has 40 punchouts and 20 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Richards hasn’t faced the Diamondbacks yet this year and did not accrue any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.76, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.88 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Miami offense is putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .251/.332/.400 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Marlins’ hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is slashing .297/.374/.416 with four home runs, 38 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Castro’s line is .274/.323/.389 with five homers, 30 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.13 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.53, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .226/.306/.397 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt continue to lead Arizona’s hitters. Peralta is slashing .281/.346/.509 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 37 runs scored. Goldschmidt (.261/.373/.519) has produced 17 homers, 41 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 2.7 units and are 27-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve gone under against righty starters.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Arizona has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has 13 XBH over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have won six of their last seven games SU.

Miami has recorded 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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