The Arizona Diamondbacks will play the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will showcase this NL matchup and the game gets going at 7:40 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Arizona (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog against Milwaukee (-135) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Diamondbacks are 25-22 SU and are 21-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.5 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the season, despite having lost 5.2 units ATS. Arizona hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 29-19 SU and 28-19 ATS. The team’s gained 11.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 18-27-2 so far in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 20-24-2.
Right-hander Matt Koch will get the nod for Arizona. Koch is 2-2 with a 4.06 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 16.62 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are handing the ball to righty Jhoulys Chacin (3-1, 3.63 ERA), who has 36 strikeouts and 23 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.33. Chacin is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA across one starts against Arizona this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.06, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.58, a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 10.3.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .263/.317/.539 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by Lorenzo Cain and Jesus Aguilar. Cain is slashing .276/.383/.448 with six home runs, 15 RBIs, 29 runs and 10 stolen bases, and Aguilar’s line is .321/.382/.585 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 20 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .265/.331/.505, Aguilar didn’t do very well against righty pitching at home last year, producing .171/.244/.366 across 90 plate appearances.
In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.81 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.47 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.61, along with a K-per-9 of 7.98.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .217/.296/.372 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Arizona’s hitters have been powered by A.J. Pollock and Daniel Descalso, who collectively have belted 16 home runs. Pollock is slashing .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases, while Descalso is slashing .258/.354/.500 with five homers, 22 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .235/.332/.399, Descalso did not perform especially well against righty pitching on the road last year, putting up a slash line of only .197/.291/.328 across 141 such plate appearances.
The Diamondbacks have lost 1.8 units and are 11-17 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 10.2 units and are 23-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Diamondbacks have lost 11 of their last 12 games SU while the Brewers have won four of their last five SU.
Arizona has posted 12.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 12.8 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
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