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Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Preview and Prediction

Jacob deGrom (6-4, 2.41 ERA) gets the start for the New York Mets (30-27) as they meet Josh Collmenter (3-5, 5.03 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (27-28) in the last of a four-game series at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 2-1 and Arizona leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 7 and will air on SNY and FSN-AZ.

Collmenter is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA, 19 strikeouts and seven walks against the Mets in his career. The Mets were victorious over the Padres 7-0 the last time deGrom pitched. He went 8.0 innings, allowing zero runs and striking out eight. Michael Cuddyer (.273, 26 Rs, 6 HRs, 24 RBIs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday.

Arizona is a small underdog (+104) and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have a 17-19 record and overall money line at +39. The Diamondbacks come into the game with the NL’s second-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game in their own ballpark. The Diamondbacks are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 52 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.

On the other side, the Mets have a nice record of 24-6 when they are favored and are +352 overall with the money line. They have a WHIP of 1.16 on the year, good for second in the league.

The Diamondbacks are 2-1 against the Mets this season. The Diamondbacks will take on a right-hander (deGrom) in this game and have a 20-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Collmenter will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 26-20 record against righty starters this season.

Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over

Notes

When leading after 7 innings, Arizona is 13-4, while New York is 15-10.

The Diamondbacks are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mets have a 9-21 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

It looks like the Diamondbacks have a slight leg up on the Mets, as the Diamondbacks have won their last two games while the Mets have lost their last two.

When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 17-5. The Mets have a 19-3 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 25th, New York sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 213 this season. Arizona ranks in the top five at second with 261.

Ranking 18th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 156 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 14th with 169.

The Diamondbacks are 21-12 when they hit at least one home run. The Mets perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 20-10 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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