The Arizona Diamondbacks are ready to face the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to televise this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Arizona (+110) is the underdog against Philadelphia (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (+110 for the over and -130 for the under). Runline odds stand at -190 for taking the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +165 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Diamondbacks are 16-6 SU and are 12-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 9.8 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 4.1 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 14-8 SU and 8-13 ATS. They’ve gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 7.7 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 8-10-3 so far in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 9-11-1.
The right-handed Zack Greinke will get the start for Arizona. Greinke is 2-1 with a 4.13 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.80 ERA and five strikeouts over five innings).
The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jake Arrieta (2-0, 2.04 ERA), who has 16 strikeouts and six walks, as well as a WHIP of 0.96. Arrieta made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 1.38 ERA and 14 strikeouts.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 3.18 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.42 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
The Philadelphia offense has put up 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .239/.330/.337 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by outfielder Rhys Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Hoskins is slashing .328/.495/.612 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line sits at .291/.418/.405 with 23 hits, 10 RBIs, 16 runs and five stolen bases.
For the visitors, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.36 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.79 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 1.89, along with a K/9 of 8.84.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .229/.314/.409 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and right fielder A.J. Pollock have led Arizona’s hitters. Goldschmidt is hitting .273/.417/.545 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Pollock (.282/.345/.603) has produced five homers, 17 RBIs, 14 runs and six stolen bases.
Putting up a slash line of .264/.368/.462 across 250 such plate appearances, Goldschmidt didn’t perform especially well against righty pitching on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season slash line of .298/.405/.560).
The Diamondbacks have lost 0.5 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to six that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 0.9 units and are 4-12 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
Philadelphia has posted 21 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit five over their last 10.
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