Chase Anderson (0-1, 3.38 ERA) and Tyson Ross (1-3, 4.15 ERA) take the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (13-15) and the San Diego Padres (16-15) at Chase Field. The Padres won the last game 6-5 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 9 and can be seen on FSN-SD, FSN-AZ and MLB Net.
Anderson pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 1-0 defeat to the Dodgers. Paul Goldschmidt (.352, 23 Rs, 9 HRs, 27 RBIs, 6 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Ross is 2-3 with a 3.00 ERA against the Diamondbacks in his career. He takes on a quality Arizona offense that’s batting .267. Wil Myers (.288, 26 Rs, 5 HRs, 19 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 4 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
San Diego is a narrow -108 favorite over Arizona. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of +72 and a record as the underdog of 8-11. Within its division, Arizona has a 4-2 as the underdog and a 12-10 SU. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the NL in offense with 4.8 runs per game. The Diamondbacks lead the NL in hits with a phenomenal 9.5 per game. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 25 bases. As for the pitchers, the Diamondbacks are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.6 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, in contrast to a worrisome overall money line (-100), San Diego has an impressive 9-6 record when playing as the favorite. They are 9-3 as the favorite against teams in their division, and 13-11 SU. The Padres are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 9.0 hits per road game. The Padres allow 4.6 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.1 runs per game during that span.
The Padres lead the season series, 3-2. The Diamondbacks have a 9-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Ross takes the mound. Anderson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 9-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
In their last game, the Padres won by a margin of one run. The Diamondbacks are 3-6 in one-run games. The Padres have a 5-4 record in close games.
When the Diamondbacks play into extra innings, they have a 2-1 record. The Padres are 0-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Padres managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Diamondbacks who are heading in with a 5-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 9-2. The Padres have a 12-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking ninth, Arizona is in the top 10 of the league in runs, scoring 134 this season. San Diego ranks in the top five at third with 146.
Arizona and San Diego both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. Arizona sits at 18th with 84 this season and San Diego ranks 20th with 79.
The Diamondbacks are 11-4 when they hit at least one home run. The Padres perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 10-6 record.
