Patrick Corbin (4-3, 3.67 ERA) and Mike Leake (9-7, 3.49 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (65-72) and the San Francisco Giants (71-66) at Chase Field. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 7 and can be seen on FSAZ and CSBy.
Corbin pitched 6.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs and striking out four in a 6-4 win over the Rockies. David Peralta (.306, 51 Rs, 14 HRs, 71 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. Leake went 7.0 innings, surrendering two runs and striking out three in a 2-1 defeat to the Dodgers in his most recent start. Brandon Belt (.281, 66 Rs, 17 HRs, 62 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Giants, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Arizona is a narrow -110 favorite at home against San Francisco. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of -381 and a record as the favorite of 28-27. Within its division, Arizona has an 11-10 record as favorite and a 26-28 record SU. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 118 bases. Arizona’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.7 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.4.
In games where it is the underdog, San Francisco has a 31-37 record and an overall money line of -116. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-7 record, and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL. The Giants are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the NL with 9.2 hits per game. San Francisco is excellent at not striking out n the road with just 7.5 per game, ranking second in the NL.
The Diamondbacks lead the season series, 7-6. The Diamondbacks have a 50-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Leake takes the mound. Corbin (LHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 17-17 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – Ari, O/U – Over
Notes
Arizona has won 52% (26-24) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Francisco has won 60% (31-21) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Giants are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 13-19 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 5-43. The Diamondbacks have a 13-47 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, San Francisco has hit 113 this season. Arizona ranks 19th with 125 home runs.
Ranking first in hits, Arizona has earned 9.29 per game this season. San Francisco ranks third with 9.20 hits.
Arizona and San Francisco both rank in the top 10 of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Arizona sits at eighth with an OPS of .736 and San Francisco ranks 10th with an OPS of .733.
The Giants are 31-49 when they allow at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 33-60 record.
