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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals Matchup 04/28/18

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be facing off against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. This NL matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 4:05 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Washington (+115) as the underdog to Arizona (-125). The total sits at 8 runs and gamblers can take the over for -115 and the under for -105. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +120 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -140 for the Nationals +1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 18-7 SU and have gone 14-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.9 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 5.5 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 11-15 SU and 11-14 ATS. They’ve lost 8.5 units for moneyline bettors and 4.0 units ATS.

Nationals games have an 11-12-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 12-11-1.

Southpaw Patrick Corbin is projected to start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Corbin is 4-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Nationals will turn to righty Jeremy Hellickson (0-0, 4.50 ERA), who’s got eight strikeouts and three walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Hellickson only made one start against the Diamondbacks in 2017 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).

Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.57 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 1.69, along with a K/9 of 9.18.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .229/.314/.410 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Arizona’s offense has been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and right fielder A.J. Pollock. Goldschmidt is slashing .278/.404/.533 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Pollock (.286/.340/.615) is up to six homers, 19 RBIs, 17 runs and six stolen bases.

Goldschmidt didn’t perform especially well against righties on the road in 2017. Across 250 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .264/.368/.462 (his overall season line was .298/.405/.560).

For the home team, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.59, a WHIP of 1.13 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.1. The bullpen has a 5.10 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

The Washington hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .277/.350/.407 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Nationals’ batters have been led by outfielder Bryce Harper and second baseman Howie Kendrick. Harper is hitting .250/.458/.563 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Kendrick’s line is .303/.330/.506 with three homers, 10 RBIs and eight runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .317/.411/.596, Harper did not do very well against lefty pitching at home last year, slashing .295/.362/.328 over 69 such plate appearances.

The Diamondbacks have gained 0.6 units and are 6-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 7.3 units and are 3-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to five that’ve cashed the under.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in three of Arizona’s last seven games.

The Diamondbacks have won five of their last six games SU.

Washington has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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