Two high-powered offenses will dictate this one as the Arizona State Sun Devils (6-5) take on the California Golden Bears (6-5). The country’s fifth-leading passer, Jared Goff (3,710 yards, 32 TDs), will be featured in this game for California. It kicks off Saturday, Nov 28 at 10:00 p.m. ET and will be shown on FS1.
In last week’s matchup, California lost to Stanford 35-22. Jared Goff had a great game through the air in the loss, connecting on 37 of 54 pass attempts for 386 yards and two TDs. Bryce Treggs also had a great game with 102 receiving yards and a TD on seven catches. Arizona State is hoping for another victory like last week’s performance, when it defeated Arizona 52-37. Devin Lucien had a huge game for the Sun Devils, pulling in nine receptions for 190 yards and one TD. Demario Richard had a great game as well, adding 105 rushing yards and a TD on 14 carries.
California is a small three-point favorite at home against the Sun Devils.
Sitting at 6-5 Straight Up (SU) and 5-6 Against The Spread (ATS), the Golden Bears will look to improve heading into Week 13. In their five most recent matchups, the Golden Bears went 1-4 for both SU and ATS. A focal point of California’s offense is its passing game, which ranks eighth in the country with 352.6 passing yards per game. During their last five games, the Golden Bears gave up 241.8 passing yards per game. It is critical for the Sun Devils to prepare for California’s big-play defense, which ranks 11th in the nation with 2.2 turnovers per game. In the third quarter, California is a tough test, putting up 12.6 points during the third frame.
In the other locker room, the Sun Devils head into Week 13 with records of 4-7 ATS and 6-5 SU. Over their last five games, the Sun Devils have a SU and ATS record of 2-3 for those betting with them. Arizona State’s game plan centers around passing the football. The Sun Devils pass 39.8 times per game. Moving on to the Arizona State defense, there are certain areas where it measures up well against the Golden Bears. The Arizona State defense has given opposing running backs trouble this season. Opponents average just 123.4 rushing yards per game against this terrifying group. The California offensive line better prepare this week, because the Sun Devils get to opposing quarterbacks with ease. The Sun Devils currently lead the country with an average of four sacks per game. Arizona State has put in some strong special teams performances this season. The team has averaged 114.8 return yards per game, ranking them 13th in the nation.
Predictions: SU Winner – Arizona State, ATS Winner – Arizona State
Notes
California is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
California is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of California’s last 8 games.
California is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games at home.
California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
California is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games at home.
California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona State.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California’s last 6 games when playing Arizona State.
California is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona State.
Arizona State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against California.
Arizona State is 4-2 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. California is 6-0 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
California is only 1-2) SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet 4-2 SU when losing the turnover battle.
The California defense has forced an average of 2.2 turnovers per game this season. Arizona State is only 2-5 SU when turning the ball over at least 2.0 times in a game.
Among all FBS teams, the California offensive passing game is ranked eighth in the nation, while the Arizona State pass defense is only ranked 123rd. The Sun Devils passing attack is ranked 29th, compared to the 86th-ranked pass defense of the Golden Bears.
