The Arizona State Sun Devils (+3) are heading northeast to face their in-conference foe No. 21 Colorado Buffaloes at Folsom Field. Pac-12 Networks is scheduled to have the TV rights and this key daytime game gets going at 4:00 p.m. ET.
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Colorado Buffaloes Betting Preview
In this Saturday Pac-12 game, Colorado is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Sun Devils are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Buffaloes are -140. This Pac-12 tilt should provide several decent live betting scenarios, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 61.5 points.
The line opened at -2 while the total hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 61.5.
The Sun Devils are down 0.7 units so far in 2018 and 4-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-2. The Buffaloes have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 3.4 units. The team is 3-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 0-3.
The Sun Devils have gone 3-2 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Buffaloes are 4-0 SU overall and are also 1-0 SU in conference play.
The Sun Devils are coming off a resounding 52-24 win over Oregon State last week where Manny Wilkins completed only 14-of-25 passes for 162 yards and three touchdowns. Eno Benjamin (312 rushing yards on 30 attempts, three TDs) and the signal-caller Wilkins (61 yards on nine carries) mounted the ground attack. N’Keal Harry (five receptions, 84 yards, one TD) and Kyle Williams (four catches, 39 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
The Colorado Buffaloes just earned a lopsided 38-16 win over UCLA. The team’s defense allowed the Bruins to rush for 151 yards on 28 attempts. Joshua Kelley was a bright spot in the loss, recording 124 rushing yards on 12 attempts for UCLA. For Colorado, Steven Montez completed 22-of-26 passes for 237 yards and one touchdown. Travon McMillian (102 rushing yards on 21 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Montez (81 yards on 11 carries, two TDs) led the running game while Laviska Shenault Jr. (12 receptions, 126 yards, one TD) and Tony Brown (six catches, 77 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Arizona State has run the ball on 51.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Colorado has a rush percentage of 58.0 percent. The Sun Devils have rushed for 181 yards per game (including 280 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have nine scores on the ground this year. The Buffaloes are logging 206 rush yards per game and have 11 total rushing TDs.
Based on the early season results, it appears that the Sun Devils could hold an advantage in terms of RB efficiency. Their backfield has logged 5.1 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.8 to opponents. The Buffaloes have recorded 4.7 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.1 to opponents.
The Sun Devils offensive scheme has logged 245 yards per contest through the air overall (133 per game versus conference opposition) and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Buffaloes have recorded 284 pass yards per contest and have nine total pass scores.
Arizona State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 162 yards and throw for 202 yards per game. The Colorado defense has given up 195.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 156.3 yards per game on the ground. The Buffaloes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.19 to opposing QBs, while the Sun Devils have allowed a 5.05 ANY/A.
Offensively, Wilkins is up to 1,120 passing yards this year, and has connected on 64 percent of his 143 attempts with 10 scores through the air and only one interception. Wilkins has an 8.45 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.27 over the last two games.
Steven Montez has completed 77-of-101 passes for 926 yards, eight TDs and one INT for Colorado. His ANY/A sits at 9.12 for the year and 8.00 over his last two games.
These two squads faced off a year ago with the final outcome being a 41-30 win for Arizona State.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils at Colorado Buffaloes
SU Winner – Colorado, ATS Winner – Colorado, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
Each team has lost one fumble this season.
The Arizona State D has 18 sacks on the year while Colorado has 13.
Arizona State has averaged 5.32142857142857 yards per rush attempt across its last three contests and 6.4 over its last two.
Colorado has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.3 over its last two.
Arizona State was favored by 22 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 64.5. The over cashed and Arizona State covered in the 52-24 victory over Oregon State.
In its last three games, Arizona State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Colorado was favored by 10 points in its last game and the Over/Under going into it was 57.5. The under cashed and Colorado covered in that 38-16 win over UCLA.
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