It will be a battle between Southeastern opponents when the Ole Miss Rebels (15-9) welcome the Arkansas Razorbacks (12-12) to The Pavilion at Ole Miss. Action begins at 2:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 13 and will air on ESU and ES3.
The Rebels were beaten by Florida 77-72 on Tuesday. Tomasz Gielo was the game’s high scorer with 20 points. The Razorbacks, meanwhile, are coming off a demoralizing 78-46 loss at the hands of Mississippi State on Tuesday. Jimmy Whitt had a good shooting night, leading the team with 11 points.
The Rebels enter the game with records of 15-9 Straight Up (SU) and 13-10 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (7-3). The Rebels are an impressive shooting team from the line with 18.0 free throws made per game, one of the highest marks in Division I.
In the other locker room, the Razorbacks have 12-12 SU and 12-8 ATS records. They sport the 30th-ranked scoring offense in the country, averaging 80.3 points per game. The Razorbacks are shooting very well so far with a .418 three-point field goal percentage that ranks seventh in Division I. Defenses have a tough time accounting for every player when up against the Razorbacks, who are known for distributing the ball with 16.7 assists per game. When it comes to defending the rim, the Razorbacks are one of the best in the nation with an average of 5.5 blocks per game.
This game marks the first time these teams will play this season. The last time Ole Miss and Arkansas played, Arkansas won, but the win was not enough to overtake Ole Miss in their recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 3-7 SU over the most recent meetings. The Rebels also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 7-3. Ole Miss held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers once, while Arkansas was never able to do so in their most recent five games.
Predictions: SU Winner – Ark, ATS Winner – Ark
Notes
“Mississippi is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games “.
“Mississippi is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 9 of Mississippi’s last 11 games “.
“Mississippi is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi’s last 8 games at home”.
“Mississippi is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Arkansas”.
“Mississippi is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arkansas”.
“Mississippi is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Arkansas”.
“Mississippi is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Arkansas”.
Ole Miss and Arkansas both have a 5-6 record against their conference.
Ole Miss scores 79.8 points per home game (ranked 88th). Arkansas ranks a poor 211th in points allowed on the road, allowing 79.5 points.
In its last game, Arkansas lost by a margin of 32 points. Ole Miss is 1-1 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Arkansas has a 7-2 record in blowouts.
With 69.9 possessions and 1.079 points per possession, the Ole Miss Rebels perform worse on both metrics than the Arkansas Razorbacks. Arkansas averages 72.7 possessions and 1.104 points per possession.
The Ole Miss Rebels average an effective field goal percentage of 48.5% this season. The Arkansas Razorbacks have an abysmal record of 3-10 when opponents have an eFG% of 48.5% or greater.
Ole Miss attempts an average of 22.0 three pointers per game and Arkansas attempts 16.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Ole Miss Rebels have an 8-7 record while the Arkansas Razorbacks have a 3-2 record.
The 19th-ranked team in the category, Arkansas has an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.47 this season. Ole Miss ranks lower at 178th with an A/TO of 1.04.
Ole Miss ranks 53rd in offensive rebounding. Arkansas ranks 176th in defensive rebounding.
Arkansas makes an average of 7.3 steals per game. Ole Miss has an outstanding 9-3 record when it allows at least 7 steals.
