The No. 13 Tennessee Volunteers (24-7, 14-5 SEC) take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (23-10, 12-8 SEC) in the Southeastern Conference Tourney at Scottrade Center. The game can be seen on ESPN at 3:25 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 10, 2018.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Tennessee Volunteers ATS Prediction
In the Razorbacks’ last contest, they defeated the No. 23 Florida Gators, 80-72. The Razorbacks, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.7, had a ridiculous mark of 41.2, while the Gators had a free throw rate of 0.150 (below their season average of 0.240). Arkansas rallied around Jaylen Barford, who was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 9-for-17 shooting.
The Volunteers edged the Mississippi State Bulldogs in their last outing, 62-59. The Volunteers, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.3, had an absurd mark of 48.9 and had a free throw rate of 0.283 (above their season average of 0.275). Lamonte Turner was Tennessee’s high scorer with 15 points on 6-for-13 shooting.
The offensive glass could be a major edge for Tennessee in this meeting. The Volunteers rank 60th in offensive rebounding percentage (33.0 percent), while Arkansas ranks 298th in defensive rebounding percentage (68.6 percent). Furthermore, the 35th-ranked offense of the Razorbacks (offensive efficiency of 113.5) will face off against the 37th-ranked defense of the Volunteers (defensive efficiency of 98.0).
Admiral Schofield has averaged 19.8 points and 5.8 rebounds over the last five games for Tennessee.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Barford had 28 points and five rebounds and the Razorbacks defeated the Volunteers 95-93. The Razorbacks had a better free throw rate (0.344 vs. 0.254) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.607 vs. 0.528).
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Tennessee Volunteers Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Tennessee, ATS Winner – Tennessee, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Tennessee ranks 75th in three pointers allowed per game (20.2) while Arkansas ranks 264th (24.3).
The Volunteers rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (11.0) while the Razorbacks rank 148th (13.5).
Tennessee averages 4.5 blocks per game, which ranks 38th in the NCAA. Arkansas ranks 153rd in blocks allowed per game (3.6).
The Volunteers average 36.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 104th in the NCAA. The Razorbacks rank 196th in rebounds allowed per game (36.0).
Arkansas ranks 11th in steals allowed per game (4.7) while Tennessee ranks 80th (5.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Razorbacks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.0, down from 6.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Volunteers have scored an average of 67.8 points per game (6.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 59.2 points per game (6.9 below their season average).
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