It will be a battle between SEC opponents when the Texas A&M Aggies (13-8, 2-6 SEC) welcome the Arkansas Razorbacks (15-6, 4-4 SEC) to Reed Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 30, 2018, and will air on ESPNU.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 145.5 points with Texas A&M opening as a 5-point favorite.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies ATS Prediction
The last time the Razorbacks played, they topped the Oklahoma State Cowboys, 66-65. Arkansas’ 11.6 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Oklahoma State, who had a mark of 20.5. The Razorbacks’ mark was better than their season average of 13.3, while the Cowboys’ was above their season average of 15.7. With 22 points on 7-for-13 shooting, Daryl Macon was the top scorer from either team.
The Aggies lost to the No. 5 Kansas Jayhawks in their last outing, 79-68. Kansas’ 11.9 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Texas A&M, who had a mark of 16.9. The Jayhawks’ mark was better than their season average of 14.5. Tyler Davis put together a good game for Texas A&M, leading the team in scoring with 18 points on 8-for-17 shooting.
Texas A&M could own the offensive glass in this battle. The Aggies rank 33rd in offensive rebounding percentage (34.9 percent), while Arkansas ranks 258th in defensive rebounding percentage (69.4 percent). Additionally, the sweet-shooting offense of the Razorbacks ranks 38th in effective field goal percentage (0.554), while the Aggies are 17th-best in the NCAA at effective field goal percentage allowed (0.455).
Arkansas heads into the game with records of 15-6 straight up (SU) and 10-11 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to set the total low when the Razorbacks are involved, as 57.1 percent of their games have finished over the projected point total.
Texas A&M is 13-8 SU, but they are just 7-11 ATS. Unlike Arkansas, games featuring the Aggies have typically finished under the total (55.6 percent).
After the Razorbacks won both matchups against the Aggies last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Arkansas won 86-77. Arkansas made good use of their 27 trips to the free throw line, converting on 22 of them (81.5 percent). Texas A&M, on the other hand, was 9-11 (81.8 percent).
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Arkansas, ATS Winner – Arkansas, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Arkansas is 4-5 ATS on the road with 5 unders and 4 overs.
Texas A&M is 2-6 ATS at home with 5 unders and 3 overs.
Texas A&M ranks third in rebounds per game (42.3) while Arkansas ranks 182nd (34.7).
The Razorbacks rank 67th in assists per game (15.3) while the Aggies rank 179th in assists allowed per game (14.4).
Arkansas averages 4.6 blocks per game, which ranks 38th in the NCAA. Texas A&M ranks 149th in blocks allowed per game (4.1).
The Razorbacks rank 24th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while the Aggies rank 130th (6.6).
Arkansas averages 20.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 201st in the nation. Texas A&M ranks 233rd in three pointers allowed per game (24.2).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Arkansas is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Razorbacks have been outscored by an average of 1.0 point in their last five games. For the season, Arkansas has defeated opponents by an average of 7.9 points.
During their last five games, the Aggies have scored an average of 65.2 points per game (9.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 69.8 points per game (1.8 above their season average).
