The No. 11 Wichita State Shockers (8-2) meet the Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-7) at Charles Koch Arena. The game can be seen on ESPN Full Court at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 19, 2017.
Wichita State opened as a 29-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 155 points.
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Wichita State Shockers ATS Prediction
The last time the Red Wolves played, they beat the Florida Atlantic Owls, 64-63. The Red Wolves forced 17 turnovers and held the Owls to an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.3 (below their season average of 32.2). With 22 points on 10-for-19 shooting, Deven Simms was the top scorer from either team.
The Shockers were beaten by the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game, 91-83. Oklahoma’s 8.7 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Wichita State, who had a mark of 11.2. The Sooners’ mark was better than their season average of 14.8. Darral Willis Jr. put together a good performance for Wichita State, leading the team in scoring with 20 points on 6-for-10 shooting.
The productive offense of Wichita State (17th in the nation with an offensive efficiency of 119.3) will square off against the porous defense of Arkansas State (274th in the nation with a defensive efficiency of 107.6). The Shockers figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Arkansas State holds records of 4-7 straight up (SU) and 2-6 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to place the total high when the Red Wolves are involved, as 62.5 percent of their games have gone under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Wichita State is 8-2 SU and 4-4 ATS. There does not appear to be a trend for Shockers games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Willis Jr. and Conner Frankamp have played well over the last five games for Wichita State. Willis Jr. has averaged 11.6 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. Not to be outdone, Frankamp has put up 13.8 points a game during that span.
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Wichita State Shockers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Wichita State, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Arkansas State ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (16.6) while Wichita State ranks 253rd (27.6).
The Shockers rank 17th in assists per game (17.9) while the Red Wolves rank 234th (10.7).
Wichita State ranks sixth in rebounds per game (44.0) while Arkansas State ranks 195th (34.1).
The Shockers rank 62nd in blocks per game (4.2) while the Red Wolves rank 114th in blocks allowed per game (3.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Red Wolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 3.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Shockers have scored an average of 87.4 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 74.0 points per game (3.5 above their season average).
