The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (15-14, 9-9 SBC) clash with the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-20, 6-12 SBC) in the Sun Belt Conference Tourney at Lakefront Arena. The game will air on ESPN 3 at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 7, 2018.
Louisiana-Monroe is a 4-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 147 points.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Betting Prediction
The Red Wolves have won both matchups against the Warhawks this season, including an 83-79 victory in their last matchup. Arkansas State covered as a 7.5-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 162 points, which was 15 points above the projected point total of 147 points. The Red Wolves knocked down 14 of their 17 free throws (82.4 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.627 vs. 0.596). In the loss, McDaniel led all scorers with 24 points.
Arkansas State comes into the contest with records of 11-20 straight up (SU) and 12-15 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total low when the Red Wolves are involved, as 17 of their 27 games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Louisiana-Monroe is 15-14 SU and 10-10-1 ATS. Of the Warhawks’ 21 games that accepted bets, 11 have finished over the O/U total.
Travis Munnings has averaged 19.8 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.2 steals over the last five games for Louisiana-Monroe.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Arkansas State, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Arkansas State ranks 70th in three pointers allowed per game (20.1) while Louisiana-Monroe ranks 273rd (24.7).
The Warhawks rank 119th in assists per game (14.0) while the Red Wolves rank 271st (10.9).
Arkansas State ranks 170th in blocks per game (2.8) while Louisiana-Monroe ranks 244th (1.3).
The Warhawks rank 36th in steals allowed per game (5.2) while the Red Wolves rank 64th (5.5).
Louisiana-Monroe ranks 227th in rebounds per game (33.4) while Arkansas State ranks 228th (33.4).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Arkansas State is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Red Wolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.0, down from 4.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warhawks have scored an average of 67.8 points per game (2.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.6 points per game (2.0 below their season average).
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