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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Toledo Rockets Game Pick

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel to play the Toledo Rockets at Glass Bowl this week. The game starts at 7:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep 26 and will air on the ESP3.

Toledo beat Iowa State 30-23 last week. Kareem Hunt had a big game on the ground in the win, rushing for 129 yards on 24 carries. Arkansas State was able to pick up the win last week’s performance, cruising past Missouri State 70-7 in its matchup. James Tabary had an outstanding performance throwing the ball for the Red Wolves, completing 21 of 24 passes for 255 yards and three TDs. Johnston White also had a big game with 87 yards and three TDs on 11 attempts.

The Rockets, a 10-point favorite, will be looking to defend their home field when Arkansas State visits. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is currently unavailable.

The Rockets are off to a good start to the season with a 2-0 record Straight Up (SU) as well as Against The Spread (ATS).

Across the field, the Red Wolves have 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS records this season. The Red Wolves like to keep the ball on the ground. On average, they run 47 times per game. Switching gears to the Arkansas State defense, it has some favorable matchups that it may be able to take advantage of as well. Taking away the passing game shouldn’t be a difficult task for Arkansas State. The Rockets have America’s 121st-ranked completion percentage at 48.5%. The Red Wolves have a habit of pouring it on before they go into halftime. They average 12.7 points during the second quarter, ranking 19th in Division I. With an average of 143.3 return yards per game (11th-most in the country), Arkansas State has had a great deal of success with its special teams.

Predictions: SU Winner – Arkansas State, ATS Winner – Arkansas State

Notes

Toledo is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games.

Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo’s last 7 games.

Toledo is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toledo’s last 12 games at home.

Arkansas State is 1-0 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. Toledo is 2-0 SU when leading after three quarters.

According to overall FBS team rankings, Arkansas State is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its 39th-ranked rushing attack will face the 66th-ranked run defense of Toledo, while its 78th-ranked rush defense will look to contain the 108th-ranked running game of the Rockets.

Written by GMS Previews

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